Race | mx | Low 95% | High 95% | mn | k | t | a | b | c |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kentucky Derby | 16.498 | 16.387 | 16.609 | 14.925 | 0.056 | 1913.13 | –0.4503 | –0.0725 | 0.2906 |
Preakness Stakes | 16.644 | 16.575 | 16.713 | 15.913 | 0.121 | 1954.51 | –0.3288 | –0.0520 | 0.1637 |
Belmont Stakes | 16.281 | 16.230 | 16.333 | 3.145 | 0.053 | 1862.24 | –0.2421 | –0.0586 | 0.1640 |
The 95% confidence limits are given for mx, the estimated maximum of the logistic model. Values for mn (minimum fastest speed), k (shape parameter) and t (location parameter) of the logistic model are best-fit estimates. Values shown for a, b and c of the GEV (Eqn 1) are best-fit estimates. All values for a are significantly less than 0 (P<0.05)