Fig. 2. Hypothetical example of the effects of positive directional selection
favoring individuals with higher values for a particular trait on the mean
value of that trait (A) and on the plasticity of that trait or of a
subordinate trait (B). (A) The standard expectation for the effects of
positive directional selection on the distribution of a trait (for example,
heat tolerance) across several generations. During generation one, a selective
event high temperature lasting for several days kills a
majority of the individuals in the population (G1) before they can
breed. The survivors (S1) of this selective event then breed and
the mean heat tolerance in their offspring (G2) is somewhat higher
than for their parents (G1). The difference in population mean
phenotype between generations one (G1) and two (G2)
indicates that evolution has occurred (assuming that the environment in which
the organisms are living has not changed in a way that causes the altered
phenotypes via direct environmental effects). This process continues
for several generations such that the mean value of the trait in generation
five (G5) is substantially higher than in generation one. (B) A
hypothesis regarding the correlated evolution of the plasticity of heat
tolerance or of a subordinate trait that supports heat tolerance (e.g.
expression of heat shock proteins). In the original population, exposure to
high temperatures for a few hours or days causes some individuals to increase
in heat tolerance (which would probably be adaptive if the high temperatures
continued) while an equal number of other individuals actually exhibit a
decrease in heat tolerance, which would be maladaptive (inappropriate) if high
temperatures persisted. For the population as a whole, the average plastic
response is zero. Following a selective event and subsequent breeding of the
survivors (S1), which produces the next generation (G2),
the average plastic response in this new generation tends to be an increase in
heat tolerance. Thus, natural selection has caused an evolutionary increase in
both the average `innate' (or `constitutive' or `intrinsic') heat tolerance
(A) and a shift in the average plasticity of individuals (B) such that, on
average, they become more heat tolerant when exposed (acutely) to high
temperatures. This constitutes the evolution of adaptive plasticity. See text
for discussion of possible genetic mechanisms of such a correlated response to
selection.